Syria’s Ticking Time Bomb – The Kurds, Turkey and ISIS

In northern Syria, many former IS fighters are imprisoned in hard-to-secure prisons. Among their children, the next generation of jihadists is growing up.

A severe earthquake in February 2023 brought northern Syria back into the international spotlight. It’s a region that has long gone unnoticed, despite the fact that the so-called Islamic State (IS), a terrorist organization, had its stronghold here. Though it was defeated militarily, IS could regain strength from here. This would have international repercussions.

DW Dokumentationen | Das gefährliche Erbe des IS - Besuch in der Krisenregion Nordsyrien
Image: Journeyman

Filmmaker Kawa Akrawi visited northeastern Syria’s autonomous, democratically governed area in 2022. In this region inhabited predominantly by Kurds, the filmmaker experienced the difficulties faced by the local population up close. Here in “Rojava,” as the region is known by the Kurds, the Kurdish militia YPG, backed by U.S. forces, fought against IS until 2019; thousands of fighters have been killed or wounded.

DW Dokumentationen | Das gefährliche Erbe des IS - Besuch in der Krisenregion Nordsyrien
Image: Journeyman

Following victory over the IS caliphate, the region has been home to the world’s largest prison for IS fighters.

DW Dokumentationen | Das gefährliche Erbe des IS - Besuch in der Krisenregion Nordsyrien
Image: Journeyman

The area also has the world’s largest camps for the jihadists’ women and children. Many of the wives are from western countries, which have refused to take them back. 

DW Dokumentationen | Das gefährliche Erbe des IS - Besuch in der Krisenregion Nordsyrien
Image: Journeyman

In these immense camps and prisons, it is feared, the next generation of jihadists is now growing up. “We have defeated IS territorially, but its ideology and organization have not disappeared. They are still active,” says Newroz Ehmed, of the military alliance’s SDF General Command. Their security forces can guard the camps and prisons from the outside, but they cannot control them inside. It is an explosive situation.

DW Dokumentationen | Das gefährliche Erbe des IS - Besuch in der Krisenregion Nordsyrien
Image: Journeyman

The problem is further exacerbated by the fact that Turkish President Erdogan has been fighting the Kurds in northeastern Syria for years. He calls their militia, the YPG, a terrorist organization and repeatedly flies drone attacks on the “Rojava” region; tens of thousands of Kurds have lost their homes and now live in refugee camps.

Under these conditions, how can Kurdish leaders in northeastern Syria protect themselves, neighboring countries and the West from a return of IS? What are the plans for dealing with Islamist fighters and their children, who are being raised in camps to become fanatical and ruthless fighters? 

dw.com

Houthis launch third strike against Israel, threaten more attacks

BY JOE TRUZMAN & BILL ROGGIO

The banner of Ansar Allah: “Allah is the Greatest, Death to America, Death to Israel, Curse on the Jews, Victory to Islam”

The Israel Defense Forces intercepted a missile and two drones over the Red Sea that were fired by Ansar Allah, the Iran-backed group in Yemen more commonly known as the Houthis, earlier today. The attack marked the third by the Houthis that has targeted Israel, and the terror group has threatened more as Israel pushes its ground offensive into Gaza.

The missiles and two drones were launched from the “Red Sea area” and shot down “outside the territory of the State of Israel,” the IDF said, according to The Times of Israel. The Houthi missile was shot down with the Arrow air defense system, while Israel Air Force fighters downed the two Houthi drones.

The Houthi attack on Israel is the third since Oct. 19. On that date, a U.S. Navy guided missile destroyer downed several missiles and drones over the Red Sea fired by the Houthis. On Oct. 27, the Houthis launched two drones towards Israel, but one crashed into a building in the Egyptian town of Taba, and the other was intercepted and crashed in the Egyptian Hezbollah, Reuters reported.

The Houthis, on their official website, confirmed “that this operation is the third operation In
support of our oppressed brothers in Palestine,” and threatened further attacks.

“We will continue to carry out more qualitative strikes with missiles and drones until the Israeli aggression stops,” the Houthis stated.

The Houthis are an Iranian ally which formed in the 1990s to oppose the Yemeni government. Over time, the IRGC co-opted the Houthi movement, and has provided the group with weapons, training and financial support. The Trump administration listed the Houthis as a Foreign Terror Organization in Jan. 2021, but President Biden revoked the designation just weeks after he entered office. However, Abdul Malik al-Houthi, the group’s overall leader, Abd al-Khaliq Badr al-Din al-Houthi, and Abdullah Yahya al-Hakim remain listed as Specially Designated Global Terrorists.

The Houthis control nearly all of northern Yemen, including the capital of Sana’a, possess advanced weapons such as ballistic and cruise missiles, and is estimated to have 100,000 fighters under arms. The official motto of the Houthis is: “God is great, death to the U.S., death to Israel, curse the Jews, and victory for Islam.”

Iran is leveraging its network of militias in Yemen, Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon to put pressure on Israel as well as the U.S. The Houthis, as well as the Iraqi and Syrian militias which number in the hundreds of thousands, can serve as a strategic reserve and a force multiplier as the war on Israel’s northern border heats up. These militias are battle-hardened by years of fighting the U.S. in Iraq as well as against Al Qaeda and the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria.

Joe Truzman is a research analyst at FDD’s Long War Journal focused primarily on Palestinian militant groups and Hezbollah. Bill Roggio is a Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and the Editor of FDD’s Long War Journal.

longwarjournal.org/

German Air Force testing Hensoldt’s Twinvis passive radar capable of detecting stealth aircraft

The German Air Force has been conducting tests on the Hensoldt Twinvis passive radar system, which has the remarkable capability to detect stealth aircraft, Laurent Lagneau comments in Opex360. In 2018, Hensoldt claimed that the Twinvis successfully detected two American F-35A stealth fighter-bombers at the ILA Berlin Air Show. However, Lockheed-Martin countered this achievement by explaining that the F-35As were equipped with Lüneberg lenses, making them intentionally detectable for safety reasons in civilian airspace. Nevertheless…
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Hensoldt unveiled its Twinvis passive radar at ILA 2018 International Aerospace Exhibition held in Berlin (Picture source: Hensoldt)


A passive radar operates uniquely, as it does not emit electromagnetic waves to locate and identify objects. Instead, it utilizes the ambient waves emitted by radio, television, mobile phone transmitters, active radars, and satellites. When these waves encounter an obstacle, like a moving aircraft, they are reflected and captured by the passive radar’s receiver. This allows for the detection, tracking, and assessment of a potential target without emitting any signals, reducing the risk of detection and jamming.

Passive radars, especially those operating in low-frequency bands, offer enhanced air coverage, particularly at low altitudes, compared to active radars that primarily cover medium and high-altitude zones. Additionally, the absorbent coatings used on 5th-generation combat aircraft are less effective against low-frequency waves, making them more detectable to passive radar systems.

The Hensoldt Twinvis has garnered interest from other nations, with three undisclosed countries recently signing contracts to acquire the system. Hensoldt touts its fully automated signal processing and sensor data fusion, providing armed forces with a unique capability for conducting long-distance covert operations against various threats, including stealth threats.

However, passive radar technology also has its limitations. It requires advanced technological capabilities, such as powerful computing, and is most effective in densely populated areas where transmitter characteristics and precise locations are readily available. Achieving this necessitates the integration of specialized measurement systems.

Anyway, the Hensoldt Twinvis passive radar represents a significant advancement in radar technology, offering the potential to detect stealth aircraft effectively. While it provides valuable advantages, including covert operation and improved low-altitude coverage, it also presents challenges related to technological requirements and geographical constraints. Nevertheless, its adoption by multiple countries highlights its growing importance in modern defense systems.


Defense News October 2023

armyrecognition.com

Twelve Civilians, Thirty Soldiers Missing Following Azerbaijan’s September 19 Military Offensive in Artsakh

Armenia’s Investigative Committee (IC), in a statement issued today, reports that more than two hundred Armenian servicemen and civilians were killed in Artsakh during Azerbaijan’s September 19 offensive.

The IC says three children were killed.

The IC says twelve civilians and thirty servicemen remain missing.

The IC reports at least fourteen cases of torture, of which twelve were soldiers.

Two-hundred one servicemen and eighty civilians were injured.

The IC adds that during the forced deportation and the period immediately following it, the death of sixty-four civilians was recorded, which are directly causally related to the siege period, ethnic cleansing operations and the deprivations suffered during the deportation, such as hunger, lack of medicine and medical assistance, etc.

hetq.am

UN extends mandate of mission in Libya

BY SAFAALHARATHY 

The Security Council on Monday adopted a resolution to extend the mandate of the United Nations Support Mission in Libya for another year.

Resolution 2702, which won the unanimous support of the 15-member council, urged Libyan political institutions and key parties to resolve the outstanding political issues on the road to elections as soon as possible.

In this context, it called on stakeholders to engage with the UN Special Representative in negotiations to deliver free, fair, transparent, and inclusive elections that would lead to a unified Libyan Government.

The 15-member organ also urged all parties to refrain from violence and other actions that could escalate tensions and undermine the political process.

Expressing concern about the humanitarian impact of the September flooding that hit eastern Libya, the council called on the Libyan authorities and relevant stakeholders to allow and facilitate full, safe, and unhindered humanitarian access to those in need, as it underscored the need for a coordinated national platform, supported by UNSMIL, to release funds for long-term reconstruction efforts.

libyaobserver.ly